Real production math (UPH / TPH × value per unit), overtime burn, external hiring spend, and the full investment of a reskilling program — trainer, trainees, supplies, certifications, and training-period downtime. Net benefit, payback, and 36-month cash flow, on your own numbers.
What's baked in. Annual vacancy cost = open seats × 365 × daily production value × realized loss factor. OT cost = open seats × weekly OT × 52 × OT rate. External hiring cost = annual RPO/Agency spend + internal TA cost (if entered). Forge reduction applies to vacancy and OT (internal pipeline shortens cycle and reduces coverage burden); RPO/Agency and internal TA reductions apply at their entered percentages. Frontline backfill cost = cohort size × (cost-per-hire + days vacant × frontline daily production value × frontline realized loss factor) — surfaces the cost of replacing workers pulled into the program so the COO conversation isn't ambushed later. Program investment counts the full year-one cost: trainer, trainees on payroll during training, supplies, per-trainee certifications, and frontline backfill. Ongoing wage uplift = (skilled weekly wage − trainee weekly wage) × cohort size × 52 — the recurring promotion cost is deducted from gross savings. Year 1 avoided cost reflects that cohorts deploy after the training period — both savings and wage uplift only apply for the remaining weeks of the year. Year 2+ steady-state assumes the program is running; if you fund another cohort each year, subtract a recurring program investment (including backfill) from year-2+ savings.
Directional. The full Forge diagnostic measures these inputs from your actual data — production rates, vacancy spend, OT logs, agency contracts — rather than estimating them.
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